Core strategy instrument · Calculator

Bottom-Up TAM Builder

Replace top-down percentages with eligible accounts, contract ranges, evidence, and confidence.

Start with my inputs

No account. No email gate. The primary result and exports are free.

Work locally. Structured inputs calculate in this browser. Do not enter confidential, regulated, privileged, customer-identifying, or personal information.

Visible formula and sensitivity

Change an assumption. See the model move.

After the first complete result, changing a numeric input recalculates the model. Ranges and answer-changing assumptions stay visible in the artifact.

  1. Serviceable value equals eligible accounts multiplied by expected annual contract value.
  2. Eligible accounts equal counted accounts multiplied by the serviceable percentage.
  3. Confidence-adjusted value equals serviceable value multiplied by evidence confidence.
  4. Raw and confidence-adjusted ranges are shown separately.

Definition and worked example

See the method before entering your own evidence.

Who should use it: Build a defensible serviceable market from buyer groups and economics.

Decision basis: The model uses counted accounts, serviceability, buyer, trigger, contract range, source, and confidence instead of a top-down industry percentage. Serviceable value equals eligible accounts multiplied by expected annual contract value.

Read the complete versioned method · Read the highest-intent answer

Clearly fictional input

Buyer segment
US professional firms with 100 to 1000 staff
Counted eligible universe
1800
Actually serviceable (%)
35
Budget owner or buyer
Chief operating or risk officer
Buying trigger
Client-facing AI workflow moves from pilot to controlled use
Annual contract low
40000

This sample runs through the same method and artifact structure as your own work.

Structured work

Build the bottom-up market model

Every field affects the result or the working artifact. Add up to 15 records.

Transparent method

How this instrument reaches a result

The model uses counted accounts, serviceability, buyer, trigger, contract range, source, and confidence instead of a top-down industry percentage. Serviceable value equals eligible accounts multiplied by expected annual contract value.

See the fields and decision basis
  • Buyer segment: required input used in the result and artifact.
  • Counted eligible universe: required input used in the result and artifact.
  • Actually serviceable (%): required input used in the result and artifact.
  • Budget owner or buyer: required input used in the result and artifact.
  • Buying trigger: required input used in the result and artifact.
  • Annual contract low: required input used in the result and artifact.
  • Annual contract high: required input used in the result and artifact.
  • Count or economics source: optional input used in the result and artifact.
  • Evidence confidence (%): required input used in the result and artifact.

Questions about Bottom-Up TAM Builder

What do I leave with?

A versioned bottom-up market model with visible reasoning, evidence status, next action, review date, and structured exports.

Does the result use a benchmark or AI?

No. The result uses the visible deterministic rules for this instrument and only the inputs you provide. It is not compared with other customers.

When does the paid work begin?

After the artifact. Petrichor helps the team challenge evidence, reconcile disagreement, assign ownership, and commit to the organizational decision without making you repeat the free work.

The method is versioned. No cross-customer benchmark is used. Review the full method and change history, the relevant plain-language answer, or the permanent Tool Trust Charter.

Related decision instruments: Spend-at-Risk Calculator · Reach Reality · Denominator Decoder